- “This is because illusions don’t happen in our eyes, they happen in our brains.”
- “[O]ur dramatic instincts—are causing misconceptions and an overdramatic worldview.”
- Beware of averages… The can make a huge gap out of a sea of overlap
- “Your most important challenge in developing a fact-based worldview is to realize that most of your firsthand experiences are from Level 4; and that your secondhand experiences are filtered through the mass media, which loves non-representative extraordinary events and shuns normality.”
- News is, by definition, novel and not routine
- “To control the gap instinct, look for the majority.”
- “Remember how simple it is to construct a story of crisis from a temporary dip pulled out of its context…”
- “Don’t assume straight lines. Many trends do not follow straight lines but are S-bends, slides, humps, or doubling lines. No child ever kept up the rate of growth it achieved in its first six months, and no parents would expect it to.”
- We want to consume dramatic information
- “You can spot stories about them in the news every day:
- physical harm: violence caused by people, animals, sharp objects, or forces of nature
- captivity: entrapment, loss of control, or loss of freedom
- contamination: by invisible substances that can infect or poison us”
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